Sunday, March 20, 2005

 
Where's Karadzic?

Another Bosnian Serb general has been surrendered to the war crimes tribunal. All in all, the tribunal has made more progress than anyone might have expected of it back in 1995. Still, it's been 10 years since the end of the war, and one has to wonder why no one has arrested the two chief architects of war crimes: Radovan Karadzic and Ratko Mladic.

According to Carla del Ponte, Serbia knows where Mladic is and could arrest him pretty quickly if it chose to. One shouldn't understate the risk faced by Serbian democrats in confronting these peope; the death of Zoran Djindjic in 2003 was ample proof of how deadly the old militias are. Karadzic reputedly travels between Bosnia and Montenegro. He would probably be an easier catch than Mladic. The political constraints that precluded aggressive action against him earlier eroded a while ago.

All of this calls into question our fundamental competence in tracking down marked men. There's not a lot of places where folks like Mladic and Karadzic could hide (though some Serbs may have found refuge in Russia). If we can't find Karadzic after 10 long years, will we be able to find bin Laden?


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